Project · Team project
MLB Playoff Prediction — COGS 108
Date
March 2026
Team
With Lincoln Wirschem, Ricardo Hernandez, Vedant Patel, Aleksey Dykhno
Overview
Final group project (Team 021, Winter 2026) investigating how early-season team run differential per game, on-base-plus-slugging (OPS), and pitching ERA measured over the first 81 games relate to MLB playoff qualification from 2015–2023 (excluding 2020), and how the predictive power of those metrics shifts by season's end. Pulled team-season data from Fangraphs via pybaseball, cleaned and aggregated to half-season and full-season splits, then compared classification performance across both windows. Scope covered proposal → data checkpoint → EDA → final analysis across four notebooks. I led the ethics section — scoping collection bias, downstream misuse, and limitations on any causal claims.
Stack